Well if Ender's theory is right, killing Aqua over TWG would drag Ender down too, and plus let's be real clearly Aqua wasn't doing a very good job at being Mafia. I think there were other theories too but I forgot.
Well, after day 1 we knew this:
- Aqua is mafia.
- Foggy, Mulbery, Infected, Unu (me), Weak, Notty and Ooglie voted for lynching Aqua.
- Ender, Iggish, HKCaper, Oak, Caffe and Aqua voted against lynching Auqa.
Then after night 2 we knew this:
- Mulbery was mafia.
- Caffe was killed.
So, the question is, why did Mulbery want to sacrifise his own mafia member. It obviously would put everyone who voted for an Aqualynch + weak in a good position, and those who didn't in a bad one. I believe the mafias wanted it to end with an Aqua lynch, and put much suspicions around Ender, Iggish, Oak and HKCaper, which didn't vote for Aqua. I believe we therefore should take a look into the people who instead voted for lynching Aqua, and those were Foggy, Mulbery, Infected, Weak, me, Notty and Ooglie. Since Mulbery is dead, and Notty and Ooglie most likely are cult leaders, we are left with Weak, Unu, Infected and Foggy.