Ok, here's what I've gathered from it all so far (only after the merge, since that's where the real game started), everything that has anything concerning me, for other jury members to read and think about.
Right after the merge, I was in an alliance with Alpha, Notty, Fali and Toilet, iirc. Soon afterwards, I got a PM from Ooglie stating that Toilet is playing a double game against us (it was public knowledge that she was in another alliance, although she did tell us she'd stay loyal to both sides.) and I had already begun feeling a little suspicious of Toilet not quite sharing the full truth with us, since she went out of her way to make it seem like she was loyal to both sides, a little too much, it seemed at the time. Ooglie somehow gained access to the messages in our alliance PM and he used them against Toilet in a very good play, I gotta give him credit for that.
I was feeling a little suspicious of Ooglie as well, but since Toilet had already caught my attention and then Ooglie came there with direct quotes from our alliance PM, there had to be a spy among us. Alpha and Fali, probably not. Notty, not so sure. But Ooglie said Toilet and she was already somewhat suspicious in my eyes, so I took quick action and made sure that we cut Toilet loose, because even though I wasn't sure, it was a risky situation anyway and I had to do something to protect my own alliance as a whole.
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Nottykitten I suppose it was you then who was the double agent?
Anyhow, once the votes got out, Toilet obviously figured out what was going on and Fali, innocent as she is, wasn't feeling well about continuing either. The alliance had lasted only one round and I already needed a new one. That's when Notty PMed me about a new alliance with Ooglie, Shane, Love and Alpha. Love dropped out for some reason, so that left me, Ooglie, Shane, Alpha and Notty. I figured, sure, why not. It was a risky play, especially since I knew what those particular players were capable of, but if it worked, it was well worth the risk. I made sure to cover my own ass though in a separate pact with Alpha and Fali, since those really were the only two players I felt I could trust.
So now we knew there were two opposing alliances and for a round or two, everything seemed to calm down and go just as expected. And then, suddenly, I'm in the danger zone. The numbers left no doubt, there was a traitor inside the alliance. Now I know it was Shane, but back then it could have just as easily been Notty, so I made a separate PM with Alpha, trying to figure out who was the traitor and how we should go on next. I made two plans: one for when I come out of the duel as a winner and one for when I don't, so at least Alpha can get to Top 3. Here's the direct quote of what I said while I was in the duel:
endersteve5 said:
Theory time:
There were two opposing alliances: us and the rest. Two people - one from our side and one from the other - are playing a double game, controlling the game from behind the scenes. They made sure that one from either alliance would go in the danger zone and after one of us survives, they pick the alliance that has more people and ride to the top 5, after which new alliances would have to be made anyway.
Two people from our side could've been it and two people from their side could've been it. Notty or Shane and Digi or Love.
Here's what we should do: if I get out alive, we keep playing their game for one more round, then we see what we should do next. If I don't, make an alliance with Xfolo and Cron, but don't let it show to Notty and Shane. Either one of them could be the traitor, and we have no way of telling who, although if I had to make a guess, my money would be on Shane, he seems to be trying to make himself look innocent too hard (Mafia kicking in here
). From there it should be an easy ride to Top 5 or 4 or so, since one of them is still working with you and if you get Cron and Xfolo on your side, you have the majority.
I'm guessing the reason why I got the most votes out of us was the fact that I keep proposing the votes, which kinda makes me look like an alliance leader, so they probably think that if I go down, the rest of the alliance will be easier to take down. Also, since I don't really see Xfolo as an alliance leader, I guess it's safe to say that the double-gamers's bet is on me losing the challenge, although they have insurance in case I win.
Well, I didn't get out of the duel alive. Alpha took my plan and pretty much went straight with it. I don't think my theory was 100% correct, especially since it now turns out Xfolo is a greater mastermind than everyone figured, but I got the details that mattered to me and Alpha right, it seems.
If you guys could confirm or deny this stuff, that'd be great so I could make a better decision. Also, Toilet, I explained now why we voted you while you were in an alliance, so I hope there's no hard feelings for that bit. Looks like you were simply in the wrong alliance at the wrong time.