Supernatural Hotel [Finished]

[GmK]

Fruitninja is the safest choice imo.

vote fruitninja

If you look at the pure math, it seems more safe to lynch from one of the three Guest claims (66% chance) compared to inbetween ender and fruit (50% chance).

But on the other hand, I agree, currently fruit has the least likely arguments to actually be what he claims he is.

Only issue I personally have: If that is a mislynch, and fruit is third party and ender was indeed switched by the lockpick when fruit visited him, we're done, over and out, lost.

So just by the simple fact of hoping to have a better chance to survive to the next day I'd rather lynch from one of the three guests.

 

[Sploorky]

If you look at the pure math, it seems more safe to lynch from one of the three Guest claims (66% chance) compared to inbetween ender and fruit (50% chance).

But on the other hand, I agree, currently fruit has the least likely arguments to actually be what he claims he is.

Only issue I personally have: If that is a mislynch, and fruit is third party and ender was indeed switched by the lockpick when fruit visited him, we're done, over and out, lost.

So just by the simple fact of hoping to have a better chance to survive to the next day I'd rather lynch from one of the three guests.

But(in my opinion) we have more of an actual lead on fruit, where the mafia from the guest claims are still pretty sketchy. I guess it depends on what you personally call as a "safe choice". I'd rather take my instinct on fruit now than risk dipping into the guest pool.(However if we survive this night, that's probably going to have to be done next night anyways)

 

[Jivvi]

I agree with Sploorky; while there's a higher chance of lynching a mafia if we randomly choose a guest claim, we have actual evidence aginst Fruit. Realisticly, the Locksmith is highly unlikely to have switched the two third-parties at such a convenient time.

 

[Jivvi]

oops, forgot this

vote xXxFruitNinjaxXx

 

[GmK]

I agree with Sploorky; while there's a higher chance of lynching a mafia if we randomly choose a guest claim, we have actual evidence aginst Fruit. Realisticly, the Locksmith is highly unlikely to have switched the two third-parties at such a convenient time.

You are correct, it is highly unlikely it happened exactly that night.

Or are you just bussing your fellow mafia now?

In any case, I do trust the judgement of the others here, and just purely hope we dont lose the game today...

vote xxxfruitninjaxxx

 

[GmK]

Btw, Jivvi roomfriend, you betraying me and lying so extremely hasnt gone unnoticed...you do know it's quite scummy what you did?

 

[Jivvi]

Btw, Jivvi roomfriend, you betraying me and lying so extremely hasnt gone unnoticed...you do know it's quite scummy what you did?

I was in the hopes that you, being the only definite mafia PR I knew would attempt to block someone significant, or if I was lucky, carry out the kill. This failed, as far as my knowledge, but the town's in a very tight spot here, and I thought it may as well have been worth a shot.

 

[Alisha]

Vote Count for an Escalating Day
xXxFruitNinjaxXx-4(endersteve5, Sploorky, Jivvi, GmK)[L-2]

 

[HypeBurst]

Yep fruit seems to be the most likely mafia rn. After that whole unbeliever incident c:

vote xxxfruitninjaxxx

 

[Hunter]

shit wait guys dont end the day already

 

[Hunter]

maf could blitz this someone unvote
this is going too fast for my liking

 

[Hunter]

noone has even considered nling yet

 

[Hunter]

also @HypeBurst what unbeliever incident would that be?
I know what day you're talking about and stuff but what did fruit have to do with it?
I'd search myself but the day'd probably end while I was.
also if this is actually being voted anyway then hypeburst (or coolio) should vote last

 

[Hunter]

No items recieved.

And as for probing:

N1: std and digitalmez
N2: Notty and Endersteve
N3: Ooglie and coolio
N4: Hype and Ltin

I've probed 5 people that are still alive. And if endersteve is lynched, it actually ruins my chances. However, if we don't get a mafia lynch tonight, the town and third party suffers. And since I will probably be lynched tomorrow if not today, I would need three nights of probing, actually if ender is lynched that would make it 4 nights of probing to win. That is, of course, without people dying, so if I get lucky, maybe less nights than that, but if I keep probing those who die, then well my chances at this point are slim to none.

wait wait wait ender said he siren'd fruit n4 and fruit claimed a visit n2 so they are not actually contradicting

 

[Hunter]

I am not the SWAT, as you already know. In fact, I am even not Town.

I am the Siren.

My targets:
N1: Notty
N2: Anso
N3: Sploorky
N4: Fruit

 

[Enderfive]

The Alien would die if he visits me, no matter if I select him that night or not. There's the contradiction.

 

[Enderfive]

Also, why on Earth would we consider No Lynching? We have some pretty good leads in my opinion, No Lynch only justifies itself when there's almost no leads to go on and the game is in MyLo. We have the MyLo, but the 'no leads' part isn't exactly threre in my opinion.

 

[GmK]

wait wait wait ender said he siren'd fruit n4 and fruit claimed a visit n2 so they are not actually contradicting

He would have died anyway (Alien visiting Siren = Death to the Alien) which is why fruit states that the lockpick swapped endersteve with somebody else.

But that seems very unlikely, especially after the "Changing my CC's and such" act.

 

[GmK]

ender ninjaed me...

 

[Mooglie]

Fruit does seem like the best option (why would a Mafia swap him and another Third Party? o.o) plus he seems awfully fine on revealling his probes whereas 77 didn't and that seems like more of a Third Party behaviour which once again leads suspicions onto Fruit just making it up. I won't vote just yet incase anybody else wants to say anyone else (not sure how many votes are needed to end day and I don't really want to be the possible vote which ends in the possible loss of the game)

 

[Mooglie]

Er, last bit didn't really make sense (entered it without reading over it xD!) what I meant to say if anybody else wants to say anything else.

 

[Hunter]

The Alien would die if he visits me, no matter if I select him that night or not. There's the contradiction.

Oh, sorry, forgot about that.

 

[Enderfive]

Well, if anyone wants to say anything more, I'm perfectly ready to hear them out. Either way, I think that one of the Guest claims should throw in the last vote, since if Fruit is the Terrorist, then either way, we win from it. If the one that votes last turns up as Guest, we'll have two more practically confirmed mafia. And if they turn up as mafia, we'll escape the MyLo.

 

[Hunter]

Yeah, I see now. Also, the lockpicker switch hypothesis was one I came up with as a possible explanation.
@Ooglie101 , care to do the honors?

 

[Hunter]

We'll most likely have one confirmed mafia by tomorrow anyways.