From page 40 to the end of page 43 is where I think vy and brian started to bus their buddy omni. If you want to try to understand what I'm seeing you should probably read those 4 pages yourself since you get a better feel for everything because you're not missing stuff but here are the key elements:
Tim is correct, I don't have the same role as TehBrian and I don't think Molten does either.
I will say that angle of incidence equals angle of reflection. Although the GMs refused to further explain exactly what this meant when I asked about it, I can conclude that something that bounced from II to IV would hit VI if the laws of optics apply as implied. This would mean it hit Molten.
On the other hand, if something bounced off Inffy (IV) and hit HK (III), like the night kill perhaps, it would have come from Kroppeb (V).
I'm not convinced Kroppeb is necessarily scum, but it seems at least decently likely and would confirm TehBrian, whereas if he's not scum it would cast significant doubts about TehBrian.
But before this goes to a lynch, we should ask that if anyone else has roles that reflect abilities, they should probably tell us who they targeted.
From what I've concluded, there's only 1 person that I'm confident in voting, due to their nature.
vote omni
You bastard you tried to kill me! [Am I doing this "meme" thing, right?]
Vote Omni
View attachment 954
hey look I made my logo with a light ray cool
sorry Omni
Unvote
Vote Omni
I guess a Kroppeb lynch won't happen yet.
Omni's at L-3 I think. Probably safe to add my vote?
I'll go with the Omni lynch, he's the obvious choice. Though if he flips town I'm going to have to rethink my Inffy read.
Unvote
Vote Omni
I'd probably want to lynch vy tomorrow
Oh boy Inffy, you're starting to sound suspiciously mafia. And it's not just vote-hate. We'll see how Omni flips before I make up my mind about you, though.
I agree, Omni should claim his role if he's really townie...
So everybody else is a flower but you're 'Disabler'
nice try
Regardless of your Water Hemlock claim earlier, townie should have been much more helpful at L-3. What's your full role ability?
Notice how vy is wanting to get kropp, but as soon as he sees omni get a couple of votes he jumps onto omni. No attempt at trying to push kropp more, he just instantly gives up and later when I asked him why, he said he figured he wouldn't get enough votes there. But did he actually try? Because I don't think he did.
And then his 'contribution' when omni is under heat:
I agree, Omni should claim his role if he's really townie...
So everybody else is a flower but you're 'Disabler'
nice try
Regardless of your Water Hemlock claim earlier, townie should have been much more helpful at L-3. What's your full role ability?
All of those posts of his ping my radar. All of them sound like he's just trying to fit in with the suddenly moving crowd. The last one especially just feels a lot like he's talking to his mafia buddy there. I don't know why, it just does.
And then notice how brian jumped onto omni as well. He hadn't even read the thread, he mentioned 0 of omni before, but he saw omni being wagoned and jumped on. In my experience of brian he doesn't just vote who the majority are going for just 'because', so once again I wonder if he felt like he had to jump onto his teammate to get credit for it. Although he did do a questionable vote in discord mafia so maybe he does sometimes just do random things without paying attention I guess?
And then there's all of the points I made about vy yesterday (just quoting this post since it sums up a large portion of my points against him and I don't remember if there were any others or where I'd try to look for them):
Case against vyryn:
- Moderate town read on dess despite doubting him seems like a fake read (I think he felt the need to town read his teammate but throw some shade there, but you all seem to townread dess so you probably won't find that convincing)
- Saying purple was so townie we should bow down to her if she's actually mafia or something, felt too confident, felt like he was trying to buddy up with me by agreeing with me
- Felt a bit of that again when he said notty was suspicious for not agreeing with me about her theory being OP and said he thought she was just being stubborn and if she was skilled she'd recognize it and stop. Never explains why he thinks she's mafia for being so sure the dial is a cop and I can't think of why he'd think that. So it feels like he just wanted to try to scumread notty and used that as a nice excuse since it also let him buddy with me some more by calling my arguments against her strong and being on my side there and using that to fuel the read so that he could scumread her
- Despite scumreading notty has never voted for her
- Voted kropp but barely made any case at all, instantly switched to omni after he was wagoned and just gave up on kropp so doesn't seem like he actually thought krop was worth pushing on since he gave in way too easily
- His push on omni when he was almost lynched felt really forced and fake to me
- Said he's trying to be on my good side so that I don't scumread him and therefore he accidentally scumreads me and we get into a mess like last time, but I think he's more likely to want to be on my good side as mafia trying not to get lynched, than town trying not to be wrong about me/me wrong about him. The latter just seems unlikely to me, I guess because it's just not something I'd imagine myself doing? Thinking 'I want to read you correctly so I'll butter you up so that you don't think I'm mafia and make me think you're mafia for thinking I'm mafia'. I'd probably think 'I'll be more wary that just because you suspect me it doesn't make you mafia', but I don't think I'd specifically try to get on your good side because that's just weird to me.
- Said he'd reconsider his town read on me if omni flipped scum but when I asked him why he ignored me. I wonder if there's no real explanation there and he just wants an excuse to go after me tomorrow if omni is town and he's expecting him to flip town
- When he gave his read of me he asked for people who are more experienced with me to say whether I'm capable of such insight as scum. For one, he never followed that up so I question how much he actually cared to read me accurately. Second, he followed that with a 'I genuinely don't know'. I think people who say things like that say it because they know they've lied elsewhere and feel the need to convince everyone that they're actually telling the truth this time. I think maybe vy knew he'd been lying and so said this due to that ^ system of thought happening subconsciously for him. And also where he bolded my post and said where exactly I'd been insightful, it felt like it wasn't actually that insightful and he was exaggerating a read on me
- Dess giving vy a super strong town read felt like a fake read on a mafia partner to protect them since he said it was just vibes and stuff but I just don't see how he could have such a strong read when vy had posted like two things and they were both just commenting on the mechanics of the game. Just seems a bit fake to me. But again you guys don't seem to think dess is scum so this point is probably not convincing.
There might be other points that I haven't thought of rn but yeah
And then there are the points I raised brian too about his entrance feeling nervous and weird, using the '._.' emote and his 'honestly, honestly' - and I recently played a werewolf game with him and he felt really similar there, nervous and weird, and he was wolf, so I wonder if that's a scumtell for him on the forums as well. And his sudden lashing out at me and saying he thinks I'm scummy for only suspecting quiet people after I suspected him, when he'd not even read the rest of the thread so it was a huge 'assumption' to make, makes me think I was onto something, so because of that he had an emotional reaction to get back at me without really considering it, because he felt cornered and needed to scratch back. If he was town I think he'd be a lot calmer because he'd know he had the truth on his side, and in that calmness he wouldn't just assume I was going after only quiet people and go at me.
And then my points against Dess, his fake reads (I really do think they're fake, town reading me despite saying I sound incredibly fake in the same sentence, strongly town reading vy for 'vibes' based off two posts about the clock, being on the fence about omni because 'he's always like this' except this is his second game and he wasn't like this last game either. I expect that from mafia dess, not from town dess.). His tone being really constructed and weird - I just simply don't buy that it's because he trained his communication skills at college. It feels too similar to how he did in previous games when he was mafia (I went back and checked recently). And I think I had another point against him which I'm forgetting but I'll bring it up later if I remember.
So yeah I think these are our last mafia.
Further convincing me of that is the fact that everyone else seems non-mafia. Tim - completely different to when he was mafia last game, I don't think he'd have changed that much in this short amount of time. Notme - similar, he feels town to me, his PR claim posts and his clock theory all point to him being town for me. Aqua - townie tones, trying not to be wrong (imo), the fact he seemed to be blocked by omni, all scream town. Notty - just feels either town or third party. Kropp - out of everyone kropp is the one I'd consider being mafia if my above theory is wrong since he's so lurky, but when he does speak he has a good townie tone. Stranger - same as tim, could see her as third party though. UNU - he's waaaay too careful as mafia to have hammered TWG and accused hk, both non-mafia. purple - feels town, perspective seems really townie.
So yeah. Dess, Brian and Vy are my scumteam guess.