First, let me respond to the suspicions that have been cropping up against me.
1) He's made contradictions, changing his mind on fundamental things about the game when convenient for him to do so.
Except that's not true.
Let's look at those contradictions you've pointed out.
This implies that Ender thinks points about playstyle are unreliable/invalid.
Calling strawman on this. I haven't said that playstyle arguments aren't valid, or if I have then I was confused at the time and possibly thinking about something else at the same time. What I do believe, however, is that playstyle arguments aren't enough to lynch. As you pointed out yourself:
Remember when Ender said that he'd be happy to unvote me if I gave reasoning on someone else which wasn't just about playstyle?
"just" being the keyword here.
The way I look at playstyle arguments in a purely meta sense is that when someone is playing in the same way they usually play, then that is not a reason to think anything about them. If someone is behaving different from usual, then it's cause to be wary, but not to lynch. When it comes to this:
Anyone remember when Ender said he town-read caff because of their playstyle?
then since I've played quite a few games with Caff, then I have greater trust in my gut feelings about her than I would about someone who I haven't played a lot with, such as Foggy or Iggish. Thus the townread.
So this:
And it can't be that he just thinks playstyle arguments are too thin to lynch someone on
isn't true.
as we've seen before our eyes this game, he clearly does not have any limit when it comes to what is too thin to lynch someone. He's lynched an AFK and then voted someone (me) for popping into his head more than other names.
Again, not true. Jivvi was a policy lynch on my part, which means that completely different rules apply, and the vote on you was because I had to choose someone from that shitty list of mine, and it just so happened to be you, because while the others on that list were only on that list, you had a few other things going against you as well, like that nightkill analysis, which, honestly, was pure horseshit and I don't understand how I came up with that.
He must want me lynched pretty badly if he's willing to change his entire view on what is good enough reason to lynch someone, just for one post to justify his vote on me, before changing it back again.
Yes, well, I believe it's important to note here that my intention was not to lynch you, it was to place pressure on you. I would also, once again point out that I did not make an exception in my principles just to lynch you, as I've already explained.
As for the second point against me:
2) He's voted me twice now...both times were after I had just pushed on HK.
Well, sort of yes, sort of no. It's a coincidence, but just for the sake of it, let me show you why my votes had nothing to do with you pushing on HK.
Ender even told he that he wasn't suspicious of me anymore:
...until I said this:
And then the next morning he voted me.
Well, I was townreading you at that point, or at least not reading you as scum. I voted you on page 19 because according to my analysis of suspicions, which I only got done right before I voted, you were the one who had the highest possibility of being scum, even if I didn't read you as such, which is why I voted to put pressure on you and see how you reacted so I could get a better read. I would also point your attention to the fact that you were putting suspicion on HK since the day start, at which point I was still townreading you. The fact that you said that you were suspicious of HK and then I voted kind of loses its impact after that.
Now I've already said many many times how I am convinced that HKCaper is a piece of mafia scum, hence his absolutely drastic personality switch from last game to this game. To put it simply, last game he was cute, this game he isn't. (No offence <3) So I find it interesting how, after I've pushed for a HK lynch, Ender decided he had a good reason to vote me. Except both times, they weren't good reasons at all.
See, now this implies that you actually did push for a HK lynch right before both times I voted you. The vote on this day I already explained, the vote on Day 0 came after you had mentioned HK as a vibe in passing three times over something like 50 posts. And
then you started pushing him, meaning that my vote on you on Day 0 had nothing to do with you pushing for HK, unless I can actually see the future, since as a mafia member, and especially as a member of a mafia this large, I would not go defending my buddies against something this minor. Not to mention that Unu had actually placed a vote on him by the time of my first vote, so even if I did want to defend him, which would've been fucking stupid of me, then there was a player that was more dangerous to him.
All in all, it's a coincidence that my last vote came after you pushed for lynching HK and it's not even true that my first vote on you came after you pushed for lynching HK.
There were some other tidbits as well in that point of yours:
The first time was because I agreed with people or something, and he made some points that I essentially broke down and then he came back with "yes they're bad but I've got nothing else"
If you think you broke those points down, then you really have a high opinion of yourself. You said, and I quote:
your reasons for voting me don't make sense to me
and that was pretty much all you actually said. I would like to take this moment to remind you that simply because you didn't understand those points doesn't mean they weren't valid. I maintained those reasons even after you "broke them down", and while I did indeed admit that they weren't irrefutable proof of you being scum, I still believed and still do believe that they were valid points.
and then when that lynch didn't gain any traction he proposed we lynch the AFK who wasn't able to defend themselves instead (yes how townie of him).
I don't feel like I have to respond to that more than to say I've already responded to this.
Then the second time he voted me was after he'd come up with an idea for who the mafia were based on voting patterns, then chose me out of the list of people because my name stood out the most, despite there being someone on that list of mafia members of his who voted jivvi, and previously in the day he said we should look for mafia in those that bandwagon'd jivvi.
And I still maintain that there probably were a few mafia in that lynch. But I also think that there were some mafia who didn't vote to lynch Jivvi, and I'd wager that it was the smarter mafiosi who did that, because then they could point to people who did and say that it wasn't a very townie thing to do. Given the fact that I had no opinions at all on people who did vote for Jivvi, and the fact that I had other reasons to vote for you as well, regardless of how shit or not shit they were, that's why I chose to vote you, not any of the people that did vote for Jivvi. I said right on Day 0 that I would not vote randomly and if I had voted someone in the Jivvi lynch votelist, that's exactly what I would have had to do.
...Ummm what about the other person on the list who also voted jivvi? What about igg/TWG, who you had said you were looking forward to reading the posts of?
Looking
forward to, so I could
form an opinion. No one is guilty simply by association to the Jivvi lynch. If I believed that, I'd have to start by leading a lynch on myself, considering how I was the one to come up with the idea in the first place.
Not saying any of these people deserve to be lynched, but Ender was apparently choosing to completely ignore all those other points and go with me instead. It makes no sense.
It makes perfect sense, as I just explained. There weren't any points for me to ignore. Thus my vote on you.
To me, it's becoming more and more clear that he's trying to get me lynched
What I'm really trying to do is get people to talk and react so I can actually form some opinions on them. Until now, this has meant using you as a target.
I assume this is because 1) I'm an active member of town so doc is possibly going to be on me at night if they town-read me so to kill me off would require a lynch, 2) because it's a well-known fact that I'm not a very difficult person to find suspicious because I come across badly a lot, 3) because I am the only person pushing on HK, who is probably his mafia buddy who he is trying to defend.
Don't really have an answer on the first two since they're pure speculation with no explanation, I did, however, asnwer to the third already.
He's probably going to say I'm saying this now because he's voting me
And you probably are, since all four of your suspicions are on people who have pushed you. I mean, you say it out loud right in the next sentence:
but I'm saying this now because now it's becoming more and more clear to me that he's acting like scum, because of his recent actions.
All my recent actions have been to push you, so that kind of speaks for itself. And I get that you might genuinely find me scummy, and it's possible I would too, if I were in your position, but that doesn't change the fact that this opinion is most likely skewed against me by the fact that you're getting emotional about being voted.
As for Unu, and the reasons both he and Inf alluded to when voting me, I can't actually see any. All he had to say was:
There are a few things I also find suspicious about you ender. You first wanted a lynch first day, and pushed for it. You also asked for cult leaders to say who they were, with Infected (I think would be a bad thing if we lost our cult leaders and if mafias knew who they were, they could easily be targeted at nights). Now you also are "noticing things are going on between Notty, Inf, Oog and possibly Weak", as you said, which are three of the players who did not vote for lynching a townie. These are three moves that would be benefitual for the mafias.
a) Already explained the D0 lynch.
b) Cult leaders are of no importance to either the town or the mafia, if we assume that their convertees retain their original win conditions. Thus, I don't give a single fuck about whether or not they live, and I don't think the mafia do either. The reason I asked them to out themselves was because I was hoping that a mafioso would want to seize the opportunity to claim a role that was at the time being advertised as basically confirmed inno, especially considering how the real cult leaders would probably not out themselves due to the risk of being lynched and losing the game before even the first night. If there was more than two claims, we'd know that at least one of them is lying and we'd have narrowed 16 suspects down to three (or four, or however many claims there were), with a theoretical chance of at least 33% to lynch a mafia with no risk of lynching a townie (assuming no townie would claim a cult leader position themself).
c) The third point isn't even an argument, you just make a claim and leave it hanging and then say that it's beneficial for the mafia. Excuse me for remaining skeptical, but how? Until you explain your thought processes behind this, I don't have an argument to respond to.
Now, I pointed these things out in response, with the exception of the D0 lynch, because as I said, I had already responded to that and you had done nothing to counter my already given answer. And this is what I got back:
The biggest reason why I think we should keep the cult leader, is that they can give us information
First, what information is that, second, how can they give it to us if they're hidden?
While they are a third party and want most people in their cult, they need the rest of the players in order to do so. Since they only can convert one person each night they would have to try to survive the longest to convert most players.
I'm pretty sure that if a cult leader dies, someone else within the cult can take recruiting over.
I believe it would be safer for a cult leader to convert someone they don’t think is a mafia, since the mafias could target them.
Now you're making no sense at all. If they think that the mafia could target them, why on earth would they want to choose to convert people that the mafia will also be targeting? Furthermore, if they were really feeling so targeted, why would they not try to recruit one of the mafia and thus attempt to gain an insider, so that they wouldn't be as likely to be targeted? But before all that, why would the mafia want to target them specifically anyway? What would the mafia have to gain by eliminating the cults? If I was a mafioso, I'd consider the cults to be a benefit, since if they were given enough attention, they could divert attention away from the mafia, not to mention that townies would be more inclined to share their secrets in a cult chat as opposed to the public thread, which would give a mafioso an excellent chance to inflitrate one of the cults and snoop around, pretending to be a townie.
- When a player first is converted to a cult, that player know for sure that he is a cult leader and not a mafia.
Yes, and that is in no way dependent on the leaders remaining hidden. In fact, this would mean that it would be beneficial for every townie that has so far joined a cult, to out their leaders and I'm surprised no one has thought of doing this before.
- If a cult leader wants to convert someone but it did not happen while the player was not killed, then the cult leader knows for sure that one of the two following things happened: he tried to convert the other cult leader or the player was chosen by both cult leaders.
And that is beneficial... how exactly?
- The cult leaders also have a slightly better chance of knowing if the player they had converted was a mafia, since they cannot convert the other cult leader.
Again, not dependent on them remaining hidden, and we can't use that information if they are.
- People in a cult can eliminate the other members of the cult off the list of the other possible cult leader (if there are many in the cult, this may help).
I'm not particularly sure what you even mean by that.
I know that these are small advantages but believe that the talks inside each cult are the most important, while I cannot give any specific examples. It might be easier to spot patterns and such I believe and share them with smaller groups of people. At least this early in the game, I do not believe that cults will try to help mafias (if not forced), as they might be lynched by townies.
When keeping the townies we actually get some more specific information to work with, which also could make it much easier to figure out who’s mafias. I believe the reasons for keeping the cult leaders hidden are bigger than revealing them, and I find you attempting to get people to do so, suspicious.
Look, I get that you for some reason think cults are really really important in this game, even if all the info we have from the host suggests otherwise, but I still can't understand why you think the cult leaders need to remain hidden for us to get the benefits you want.
Like, I have said before I do no longer believe the odds for lynching a mafia was 5/16. Even if we got a hit on a mafia I believe that it is very unlikely we would reach 9 votes (“because people away, people who did not want to lynch, people who defended or did not find the guy suspicious enough, and most mafias would not vote for him”). I find it more likely that we would only be hitting a town- or cult player, and therefore believe the stats for the lynch would be somewhere near this instead: cult leader 2/11, normal villager 6/11 and PR villager 3/11 (cop, vigilante and doctor). I therefore think you pushing for a lynch first day was beneficial for the mafias.
I've been over this.
Also, I would assume that it is likely that either 3 or 4 mafias was helping the lynch. So, it feels like you are stepping in the wrong direction when you now go against players who did not contribute in the lynch (the only one who did was weak). This makes me suspicious
I've been over this, too.
Now, the thing that I find interesting is that the two arguments that could be considered such (D0 lynch and the whole cult business), are both arguments that could be used against himself.
I agree that we should take the risk to lynch and maybe take down an entire faction. However, I dont have anything else to go for other than that my intuition tells me that HK and Caff are mafias or some sort of special roles, while I cannot prove anything. However, I also checked with a random name picker and first got Caff then HK. How odd!
Vote HKCaper
Do you want a lynch or a no lynch and why? I would prefer a lynch over a no-lynch, just to get a chance to get rid of a mafia.
If you want a lynch, would you lynch someone at random if no one particularly scummy emerged? Yes
So, I do want to get a lynch today, and it currently looks like I have to choose between Infected and Foggy. While I do not really suspect any of them, I believe that Infect is a bigger benefit to the town with talking and getting opinions.
Unvote
Vote Foggy
Worth to note here is how he's perfectly fine with a lynch, even a random lynch, and I never went that far. Also note how he wants to get rid of the cults. So, while I know that you changed your mind after and I know you've explained why you did that, what I want to hear is why you think those arguments are valid after you yourself are guilty of doing both of those things you find me suspicious for, going even further than I did with both of them at first.
I also find it interesting that Unu has expressed his suspicion in Iggish, after he voted Inf, and in me, after I voted Inf. Meanwhile, the whole cultist reveal argument that he has going on against me, hasn't once cropped up against Inf, even though he was the one to suggest the idea in the first place. Draw your own conclusions from that.
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